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Breaking News: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow

Toncoin Signals Accumulation Phase as Open Interest Hits Nine-Month Low – What’s Next?

Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme
8 months ago
3 mins read
Toncoin Signals Accumulation Phase as Open Interest Hits Nine-Month Low – What’s Next?

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Toncoin (TON) appears to have now entered a notable phase in its market cycle, presenting potential opportunities for investors. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Joao Wedson highlights that TON has moved into a favorable risk zone for accumulation, as indicated by the Normalized Risk Metric (NMR).

This metric evaluates an asset’s price risk relative to historical data, providing a clearer picture of whether the current price levels are suitable for investment or if caution is warranted.

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Toncoin Current Market Outlook

The NMR uses moving averages such as the 50-day and 374-day simple moving averages (SMA) along with logarithmic differences in price data to determine risk exposure.

A normalized score ranging between 0 and 1 indicates the level of risk, with values closer to zero suggesting a lower chance of price decline. According to Wedson, TON’s current placement in the green zone signals reduced risk, making it an appealing opportunity for investors seeking long-term exposure to the asset.

The analysis further suggests that while the medium and long-term risk profiles appear favorable, there remains a possibility for TON’s price to revisit historically significant support zones, often referred to as the “blue zone” on price heatmaps.

Toncoin (TONP Normalized Risk Metric (NMR).
Toncoin (TONP Normalized Risk Metric (NMR). | Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, these levels have served as price floors and accumulation points for investors expecting future price appreciation.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Open Interest Decline and Market Volatility Trends

Another CryptoQuant analyst, Maartunn, has added further context to Toncoin’s current market stance. According to his observations, TON’s Open Interest (OI) in the futures market has decreased to $141 million, marking the lowest level observed in the past nine months.

Open Interest refers to the total value of outstanding futures contracts and is a key indicator of market sentiment and participation.

A decline in Open Interest generally signals reduced market activity and lower volatility. While this trend is specific to TON, it reflects a broader pattern across the cryptocurrency market as the year comes to a close.

Historically, periods of low Open Interest are often followed by significant price movements, either upward or downward, once liquidity returns to the market.

Related Reading

Toncoin’s 90-Day Returns Turn Positive: Is a Massive Rally on the Horizon?

Toncoin’s 90-Day Returns Turn Positive: Is A Massive Rally On The Horizon?

9 months ago

Lower Open Interest combined with Toncoin’s favorable risk metrics may suggest a period of price stability and reduced volatility.

Risk-Adjusted Returns and Drawdowns: A Look at Unrealized Profits in TON

“The Open Interest and Funding Rates chart complements this narrative by highlighting steady open interest levels, which demonstrate sustained participation in the TON ecosystem.” – By @ShivenMoodley

More… pic.twitter.com/DIpNabROij

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 24, 2024

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme

Samuel Edyme

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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