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Breaking News: Major Win For Memecoins: SEC Affirms They Typically Do Not Qualify As Securities

Prepare For A Solana Sell-Off: How Grayscale’s 2025 Unlocks Could Shake The Market

Ronaldo Marquez
Ronaldo Marquez
4 months ago
3 mins read
Crypto

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

On Thursday, as the broader cryptocurrency market showed signs of recovery, Solana (SOL), one of the leading altcoins, surged past the $200 mark, reflecting an 8% increase over the past 24 hours. 

This upward momentum brings the sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization closer to its all-time high achieved in November 2024. However, market experts caution that Solana may face significant pressure in the coming days.

A Double-Edged Sword For Solana Investors

Ben Lilly, a market analyst at Jarvis Labs, recently highlighted potential risks tied to the “Grayscale Effect.” In a social media post, he warned that the upcoming Grayscale SOL tokens unlock could create substantial selling pressure on the altcoin. 

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Grayscale, a prominent digital asset management company, enforces a policy to protect assets for 12 months following acquisition. As the two major unlocking periods near—January 24 to February 2 and July 24 to August 7—Lilly warns that investors should stay alert.

The mechanics of the Grayscale Trust are similar to those seen in the past with the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). In that case, investors would purchase Bitcoin (BTC) through Grayscale, which would hold the assets for a period before issuing shares. 

This created a premium, where the shares traded at a higher price than the actual Bitcoin price, leading to significant market rallies. 

However, when that premium disappeared, it marked the peak of the market in 2021, resulting in a cascade of failures for firms like Three Arrows Capital, BlockFi, Celsius, and Voyager.

Potential Price Drop Ahead For SOL’s Price

Lilly points out that Grayscale is now executing a comparable strategy with Solana, and the upcoming unlocks could mirror the past volatility seen in the crypto market. 

The analyst notes that previous large purchases of SOL tokens saw private placements unlocked from late July 2024, during which the price dropped by 40% in just ten days. 

The concern is that the same trend may emerge with the January 2025 unlocks, potentially leading to a significant sell-off. The analysis suggests that when investors who benefited from the premium in the past go to sell their holdings, they may flood the market, creating downward pressure on the SOL price. 

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Lilly recommends that Solana holders consider selling in advance of the January 24 unlock date, as this could mark a critical turning point for the asset.

While the Grayscale Trust for Solana is relatively small compared to the overall market cap of SOL, the potential impact on price cannot be overlooked. 

According to Lilly’s analysis, historical trends indicate that even small unlocks can significantly influence market behavior. He reassures that while the upcoming sell pressure may not lead to catastrophic losses, it could result in local tops and a decrease in premiums.

Solana
The daily chart shows SOL’s price trending upwards. Source: SOLUSDT on TradingView.com

As of this writing, SOL is priced at $205, decreasing slightly more than 20% from its peak of $263 attained on November 24 last year.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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Ronaldo Marquez
Ronaldo Marquez

Ronaldo Marquez

Ronaldo is an experienced crypto enthusiast dedicated to the nascent and ever-evolving industry. With over five years of extensive research and unwavering dedication, he has cultivated a profound interest in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Read more

Ronaldo's journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology.

Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration and commitment to staying up-to-date with the latest developments have granted him a unique perspective on the industry.

One of Ronaldo's defining areas of expertise lies in technical analysis. He firmly believes that studying charts and deciphering price movements provides valuable insights into the market. Ronaldo recognizes that patterns exist within the chaos of crypto charts, and by utilizing technical analysis tools and indicators, he can unlock hidden opportunities and make informed investment decisions. His dedication to mastering this analytical approach has allowed him to navigate the volatile crypto market with confidence and precision.

Ronaldo's commitment to his craft goes beyond personal gain. He is passionate about sharing his knowledge and insights with others, empowering them to make well-informed decisions in the crypto space. Ronaldo's writing is a testament to his dedication, providing readers with meaningful analysis and up-to-date news. He strives to offer a comprehensive understanding of the crypto industry, helping readers navigate its complexities and seize opportunities.

Outside of the crypto realm, Ronaldo enjoys indulging in other passions. As an avid sports fan, he finds joy in watching exhilarating sporting events, witnessing the triumphs and challenges of athletes pushing their limits. Furthermore, His passion for languages extends beyond mere communication; he aspires to master German, French, Italian, and Portuguese, in addition to his native Spanish. Recognizing the value of linguistic proficiency, Ronaldo aims to enhance his work prospects, personal relationships, and overall growth.

However, Ronaldo's aspirations extend far beyond language acquisition. He believes that the future of the crypto industry holds immense potential as a groundbreaking force in history. With unwavering conviction, he envisions a world where cryptocurrencies unlock financial freedom for all and become catalysts for societal development and growth. Ronaldo is determined to prepare himself for this transformative era, ensuring he is well-equipped to navigate the crypto landscape.

Ronaldo also recognizes the importance of maintaining a healthy body and mind, regularly hitting the gym to stay physically fit. He immerses himself in books and podcasts that inspire him to become the best version of himself, constantly seeking new ways to expand his horizons and knowledge.

With a genuine desire to become the best version of himself, Ronaldo is committed to continuous improvement. He sets personal goals, embraces challenges, and seeks opportunities for growth and self-reflection. Ultimately, combining his passion for cryptocurrencies, dedication to learning, and commitment to personal development, Ronaldo aims to go hand-in-hand with the exciting new era that the emerging crypto technology is bringing to the world and societies.

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Reason to trust

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Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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