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Breaking News: Major Win For Memecoins: SEC Affirms They Typically Do Not Qualify As Securities

Will Fear And Greed Keep Bitcoin Buyers From The Halloween Effect?

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
3 years ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin Fear

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Data shows the Bitcoin fear and greed index has been pointing towards fear lately, something that might keep buyers from the Halloween Effect.

The Bitcoin Fear And Greed Index Points At Fear

The BTC fear and greed index is an indicator that measures the sentiment and emotions of the market based on various sources, and displays them on a numeric meter.

The metric uses a system with 0-100 as values, where low values indicate fear in the market, and higher ones show greed.

Extreme fear and greed occur when the indicator shows very low or very high values, respectively. Periods of fear usually happen when Bitcoin goes in the red, while those of greed are seen during big moves up.

Here is how the fear and greed index has looked like recently, as per the latest Arcane Research report:

Bitcoin Fear And Greed

The Bitcoin market continues to show fear | Source: Arcane Research

Last week the indicator slowly started shifting towards greed as the market recovered from the crash of 7 September. However, before the greed level could be hit, sentiment quickly turned into fear as BTC had yet another crash.

Related Reading | Despite Dips, Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Reach Lowest Values Since 2018

Bitcoin Fear And Greed

The fear and greed needle points at fear currently | Source: Arcane Research

The below chart shows the trend in Bitcoin’s price over the last month, highlighting the crashes that lead to this state of fear.

Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC's price continues to fall down | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Over the last few days, Bitcoin has had two big dips where the price went down to $40.5k in the first one, but all the way down to $39.6k in the second one. These have only fed into the fear sentiment.

Will These Fear Levels Hold Buyers Back From The Halloween Effect?

The Halloween Strategy is a trading method that’s based on the idea that stocks, Bitcoin and other assets perform the best between 31 October and 1 May.

Traders using the strategy generally recommend “to sell in May and go away,” until the next Halloween comes around.

Because of this idea, buyers usually see this time of the year as an optimal entry point into the market. This is sometimes dubbed as the “Halloween Effect.”

The effect is a weird statistical anomaly as data over a period of a few years suggests the trading strategy does seem to produce better results.

Related Reading | Mid-Cap Altcoins Hold Onto Highs Better Than Bitcoin And Ethereum

Next month is the Halloween month, but will the effect attract buyers to Bitcoin this time? As the fear and greed index shows fear among traders currently, investors might be hesitant to enter the market right now.

If the market continues to show fear through the next month, then perhaps the Halloween Effect won’t benefit BTC this year.

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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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