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Ethereum Analyst Predicts A Bullish Q1 – Can ETH/BTC Ratio Push Above 0.04?
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Ethereum Analyst Predicts A Bullish Q1 – Can ETH/BTC Ratio Push Above 0.04?

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
5 months ago
3 mins read
Ethereum Analyst Predicts A Bullish Q1 – Can ETH/BTC Ratio Push Above 0.04?

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Ethereum has kicked off the new year with a strong performance, surging over 9% in just a few days. This rally has brought renewed optimism to the market, especially among analysts and investors who had grown concerned about Ethereum’s prolonged underperformance compared to Bitcoin. Over the past months, ETH struggled to maintain momentum, causing many to question its near-term potential.

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However, top analyst Daan recently shared an insightful chart that has shifted the narrative. According to Daan, Ethereum has historically shown significant activity during the first quarter of the year, even in periods where it lagged behind Bitcoin. This trend underscores Ethereum’s potential for a rebound as market dynamics shift in its favor.

While Ethereum’s price action is gaining strength, the next few weeks will be crucial. Investors are watching closely to see if ETH can sustain this momentum and reclaim dominance within the altcoin space. The market’s overall sentiment suggests that 2025 could be a pivotal year for Ethereum, with the Q1 trend potentially setting the tone for an impressive run ahead.

Ethereum Start To The Year Sparks Optimism

Ethereum has begun 2025 on an optimistic note, with investors and analysts watching closely to see if this momentum can sustain. While the start of the year has been strong, Ethereum’s performance will need to break away from past trends of underperformance relative to Bitcoin to truly thrive in the months ahead.

Top analyst Daan recently shared a detailed analysis of the ETH/BTC ratio on X, highlighting the historical significance of Q1 for Ethereum. According to Daan, Ethereum has often seen substantial action durin.g this period, even in years when it lagged behind Bitcoin.

ETH/BTC chart with Q1 highlights | Source: Daan on X
ETH/BTC chart with Q1 highlights | Source: Daan on X

During the previous bull cycle in 2020 and 2021, the ETH/BTC ratio experienced significant surges that coincided with the start of an alt season. This historical data suggests that Ethereum’s performance in Q1 could set the tone for broader market activity.

For Ethereum to build on this promising start, the ~0.04 level in the ETH/BTC ratio stands as a critical resistance point. A decisive break above this level could reignite investor confidence and potentially lead to significant gains. However, failure to sustain momentum or surpass key levels might cause Ethereum to continue the broader trend of relative underperformance.

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The next few weeks will be pivotal. If Ethereum can leverage this Q1 strength and push past critical thresholds, 2025 could mark a standout year for the leading altcoin.

ETH Testing Critical Zone

Ethereum is trading at $3,595 after reaching a high of $3,629 yesterday, testing a critical level that could determine its short-term direction. The price has shown resilience, bouncing back from the late December dip, but bulls now face the challenge of breaking through this significant resistance to sustain upward momentum.

Ethereum testing crucial supply
Ethereum testing crucial supply | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

This level represents a crucial juncture for Ethereum. A breakout above $3,629, followed by a strong close, could signal the start of a bullish rally, potentially setting the stage for a move toward higher targets in the weeks to come. However, the market remains in a phase of recovery, with trading activity reflecting cautious optimism as investors weigh the potential for continued upward movement.

Despite this positive outlook, the path forward may require patience. Consolidation around the current levels is possible as the market seeks clarity and momentum builds. Bulls will need to maintain Ethereum’s position above $3,500 to ensure that the bullish structure remains intact.

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As the market begins to wake up from the seasonal correction, Ethereum’s performance at these levels will be critical. A decisive move in either direction could set the tone for the altcoin’s trajectory in the coming months, making this a key moment for investors and traders alike.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

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To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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