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Here’s How Ethereum 2.0 Could Lead to Negative Annual Issuance

Cole Petersen
Cole Petersen
5 years ago
2 mins read

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The imminent launch of Ethereum 2.0 has long drawn the attention of cryptocurrency investors.

Many investors have speculated that the blockchain’s transition to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus system will help onboard new investors due to its steaking incentives.

It is also widely anticipated that the 2.0 version of the blockchain will help the cryptocurrency fix its scalability issues that have plagued it throughout the past few years, potentially allowing it to continue sustaining its massive utility growth rate.

Analysts are now noting that the fee burn in ETH 2.0 could also lead the cryptocurrency to see negative annual issuance – which would be extremely bullish for its underlying token fundamentals.

It appears that investors are taking notice of this possibility.

Ethereum 2.0 Could Lead the Crypto to See Negative Issuance 

It is widely thought that Ethereum 2.0’s testnet will be launched in July, with this being the first step towards the crypto’s lengthy transition.

It is important to note that Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin has sent mixed signals on whether or not it will actually be launched in July, although he has noted that he does not expect it to face any unexpected roadblocks, putting it on-track to be launched at some point in Q3 of this year.

Among many other things, one factor that is expected to help drive investors to ETH is its new staking mechanism, which allows individuals to run network validator nodes in exchange for staking rewards.

ETH 2.0 is also anticipated to significantly reduce Ethereum’s annual issuance, with some market participants even noting that it could eventually go negative.

“Over the past week, the Ethereum network has generated ~1900 ETH in fees a day, or ~700k ETH annualized. At 10mn ETH staked in PoS, the network will produce ~575k ETH a year. With fee burn in eth2, it’s very likely that we will eventually get to negative annual issuance,” one developer noted.

Over the past week, the Ethereum network has generated ~1900 ETH in fees a day, or ~700k ETH annualized.

At 10mn ETH staked in PoS, the network will produce ~575k ETH a year.

With fee burn in eth2, it's very likely that we will eventually get to negative annual issuance.

— eric.eth (@econoar) May 20, 2020

David Hoffman, however, explained that he isn’t convinced that this will happen.

“I’m actually less convinced of going negative. More ETH burn should increase ETH staking returns. More ETH staking increases issuance. I don’t know where the equilibrium sets but I’m not convinced that it’s at a negative number,” he explained.

I’m actually less convinced of going negative.

More ETH burn should increase ETH staking returns. More ETH staking increases issuance. I don’t know where the equilibrium sets but I’m not convinced that it’s at a negative number

— DavidHoffman.eth/acc🦇🔊 (@TrustlessState) May 21, 2020

Investors Seem to Be Taking Notice of Imminent ETH 2.0 Launch 

If Ethereum’s annual issuance does go negative eventually, it would make the cryptocurrency a deflationary asset.

Couple this with the heightened scalability and PoS staking brought about by ETH 2.0, and it does appear that the crypto could be poised to see notable upside.

Traders are taking notice – the number of Ethereum long positions on Bitfinex have rocketed in recent times.

“2.2% of all ETH in existence is now margin long on Bitfinex, an increase of ~160% since February,” one trader noted.

Ethereum 2.0
Image Courtesy of Jonny Moe
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Cole Petersen
Cole Petersen

Cole Petersen

Cole is a cryptocurrency analyst based in Los Angeles. He studied at the University of California Irvine and has been interested in Bitcoin and the crypto markets since 2013.

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