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Ethereum At $9,200, XRP At $5,800, And Solana At $3,400? Analyst Says This Is Not Possible
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Ethereum At $9,200, XRP At $5,800, And Solana At $3,400? Analyst Says This Is Not Possible

Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson
2 months ago
3 mins read
Ethereum

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Cryptocurrency prices are starting to grind through a period of slow but steady gains in the past 48 hours, with Bitcoin again leading the charge and most altcoins lagging in recovery. In a recent post on the X platform, popular Bitcoin maximalist and CEO of JAN3,  Samson Mow, described the misleading nature of unit bias among altcoins.

According to Mow, Ethereum at $9,200, XRP at $5,800, and Solana at $3,400 is virtually impossible, given the current supply of these tokens.

Unit Bias And Market Cap: The Numbers Don’t Lie

Mow’s post on X challenges how investors perceive the value of altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, and Solana. He proposed a reframing of altcoin valuations by applying Bitcoin’s supply model to them. Bitcoin was created with a total possible circulating supply of 21 million units, with 19.85 million of those currently in circulation.

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Ethereum

Ethereum At $9,200, XRP At $5,800, And Solana At $3,400? Analyst Says This Is Not Possible

2 months ago

At the time of writing, one unit of 21 million Bitcoins is trading around $88,000. This price might be too much for retail traders. As such, the idea of owning a whole unit of XRP or Solana feels more accessible to newcomers and retail traders compared to buying a fraction of Bitcoin with the same capital. 

To expose how misleading this mindset can be, Mow reimagines altcoin valuations by dividing their total market capitalizations by Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap. This is essentially asking what one unit of these assets would cost if they had the same scarcity of supply as Bitcoin. Based on current market caps, Ethereum would be valued at approximately $9,200, XRP at $5,800, and Solana at $3,400. 

Given the current price of Ethereum, Solana, and XRP, these figures are unrealistic and reveal how much of the altcoin appeal is driven by unit bias rather than actual value. Furthermore, it shows that Bitcoin has better fundamentals and scarcity in its supply dynamics.

Narrative Of Bitcoin Dominance Getting Stronger

For Mow and other Bitcoin maximalists, the disparity in Bitcoin supply and that of popular altcoins is yet another reason why Bitcoin dominance is likely to grow stronger in the long run. Notably, the inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and increasing recognition among traditional finance investors are strengthening the case for Bitcoin’s dominance going forward.

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Is It Time For Altcoin Season? Bitcoin Dominance Rises To Major Rejection Zone

2 months ago

Notably, Mow’s perspective stands in opposition to the outlook held by some analysts who still anticipate an incoming altcoin season. These analysts believe that Bitcoin dominance, despite currently sitting at a yearly high of 63.5%, could be on the verge of a reversal. One notable technical analysis even projected a sharp crash in dominance toward the 40% mark in the coming months.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,530, up by 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum is trading at $1,620, representing a 1.5% decline over the same period. Solana is down 0.5% at $140, and XRP is trading at $2.09 after a 1.63% decline in the past day.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $1,629 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
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Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson is a prominent crypto writer at NewsBTC with a knack for capturing the pulse of the market, covering pivotal shifts, technological advancements, and regulatory changes with precision. Having witnessed the evolving landscape of the crypto world firsthand, Scott is able to dissect complex crypto topics and present them in an accessible and engaging manner. Scott's dedication to clarity and accuracy has made him an indispensable asset, helping to demystify the complex world of cryptocurrency for countless readers.

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Scott’s experience spans a number of industries outside of crypto including banking and investment. He has brought his vast experience from these industries into crypto, which allows him to understand even the most complex topics and break them down in a way that is easy for readers from all works of life to understand. Scott’s pieces have helped to break down cryptocurrency processes and how they work, as well as the underlying groundbreaking technology that makes them so important to everyday life.

With years of experience in the crypto market, Scott began to focus on his true passion: writing. During this time, Scott has been able to author countless influential pieces that have drawn in millions of readers and have shaped public opinion across various important topics. His repertoire spans hundreds of articles on various sectors in the crypto industry, including decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchanges (DEXes), Staking, Liquid Staking, emerging technologies, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), among others.

Scott’s influence is not just limited to the countless discussions that his publications have sparked but also as a consultant for major projects in the space. He has consulted on issues ranging from crypto regulations to new technology deployment. Scott’s expertise also spans community building and contributes to a number of causes to further the development of the crypto industry.

Scott is an advocate for sustainable practices within the crypto industry and has championed discussions around green blockchain solutions. His ability to keep in line with market trends has made his work a favorite among crypto investors.
In his personal life, Scott is an avid traveler and his exposure to the world and various way of life has helped him to understand how important technologies like the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are. This has been key in his understanding of its global impact, as well as his ability to connect socio-economic developments to technological trends around the globe like no one else.

Scott is known for his work in community education to help people understand crypto technology and how its existence impacts their lives. He is a well-respected figure in his community, known for his work in helping to enlighten and inspire the next generation as they channel their energies into pressing issues. His work is a testament to his dedication and commitment to education and innovation, as well as the promotion of ethical practices in the rapidly developing world of cryptocurrencies.

Scott stands steady in the frontlines of the crypto revolution and is committed to helping to shape a future that promotes the development of technology in an ethical manner that translates to the benefit of all in the society.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
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