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Breaking News: Trump Prepares To Allow Crypto Investments In $9 Trillion Retirement Market

What Will Send Dogecoin Soaring? Analyst Reveals The Key Drivers

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
3 months ago
3 mins read
Dogecoin price news

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Technical analyst Kevin, known on X as @Kev_Capital_TA, highlights what he describes as “a low at the exact level that we were eyeing for the last couple of months.” In a post that accompanied the chart, the chartist pointed to the confluence between the macro 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement—drawn from the 2021 all-time-high to last year’s capitulation low—and a long-running falling resistance line that has acted as support since the depths of the bear market. Spot price touched $0.138 — the numerical location of that 0.382 retracement — before rebounding to the current $0.18 region.

Possible Path To $1 For Dogecoin

Kevin argues that the higher-time-frame momentum picture is beginning to shift. “The weekly RSI hit the exact level that it has been finding a low on since back in the depths of the bear market yet every time the price gets there we are at higher prices,” he wrote, noting that the relative strength index is carving out successive higher troughs even as price stair-steps upward.

At the same time, the one-week Stochastic RSI has already produced a bullish crossover, while a two-week crossover “is pending,” a structure that in previous cycles presaged multi-week rallies in the memecoin.

DOGE price analysis
Dogecoin price analysis | Source: X @Kev_Capital_TA

From a risk-reward perspective, Kevin maintains that the asymmetry remains compelling. “Like I was saying weeks ago the risk reward ratio on DOGE was phenomenal as your downside was minimal and the upside was massive,” he said, disclosing that members of his Patreon community took a “sizeable entry at 0.15 cents and have a stop loss set at break even.” In his view, the only missing ingredient is a tail-wind from macroeconomic data: “Positive Macro data is necessary to continue momentum and will expedite the process.”

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The chart shows a sequence of overhead Fibonacci extension and retracement levels that map out potential resistance zones should the rebound mature into a trend reversal. The first, and closest, is the 50 percent retracement at $0.19039; it coincides with the underside of a broken trend line, making it the next technical gatekeeper.

Above that, the 61.8 percent retracement, sitting at roughly $0.26216, marks the golden-ratio threshold that often distinguishes corrective rallies from primary up-trends. A minor cluster at the 65 percent level, visible on Kevin’s chart at $0.28522, represents an intermediate hurdle before price could attack the deeper 78.6 percent retracement around $0.41339—an area that lines up with the early-2022 distribution range.

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Should Dogecoin reclaim that zone, the full 100 percent retracement near $0.73839 would recover the entirety of the prior decline, while a shaded violet band above $1 depicts the extension territory that would formally usher in price discovery.

Crucial Factors

Kevin’s framework is not confined to the DOGE pair itself. In a separate post he set a short-term target for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) at 65.45 percent, identifying it as “the macro .786 FIB.” He expects that level to impose resistance on the metric, creating a window during which “altcoins [have] the opportunity to catch a bid.” For Dogecoin bulls, any stall in BTC’s share of the crypto market could reroute liquidity toward the meme-asset complex precisely when the technical backdrop is turning constructive.

Despite the recent bounce, Kevin stresses that neither Bitcoin nor the broader altcoin basket has entered a parabolic phase comparable to prior cycles. “Never at any point has BTC or altcoins moved into a parabolic stage,” he wrote, attributing the muted slope to “monetary policy and a lack of liquidity which leads to less social risk.”

The analyst sees that dynamic changing as “global liquidity starts to rise and monetary policy starts to ease,” although he cautions that the timetable has been stretched by what he calls “the mistakes by central banks and governments during the pandemic and post pandemic.”

For now, the memecoin that began as a joke remains tethered to the macro conversation. A base at the 0.382 Fib and a synchronized momentum reset provide a technical springboard, but Kevin’s thesis—and Dogecoin’s path toward the higher Fib targets of $0.26, $0.41 and beyond—ultimately hinges on the broader cycle delivering the liquidity that has been absent so far.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.175.

Dogecoin price
DOGE price, 1-day chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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