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Breaking News: Trump Prepares To Allow Crypto Investments In $9 Trillion Retirement Market

If Dogecoin Loses This Level, Expect A Major Crash: Analyst Warns

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
1 day ago
3 mins read
Dogecoin price news

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A widely followed chartist says Dogecoin’s latest rally has run into textbook resistance and the memecoin now sits on a make-or-break support band that will determine whether momentum resumes or unwinds. Crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) published a daily chart on X on July 31, 2025, showing DOGE pulling back to roughly the $0.22 area after a rejection beneath $0.28.

Dogecoin Must Hold This Key Zone

“Dogecoin holders as you can see DOGE came up to the macro golden pocket at the major resistance of .26-.28 cents and saw a rejection similar to the rest of the altcoins market after a really nice move,” he wrote, adding that price is “retesting the big support zone you want to hold… .213-.189 is all of your major daily MA’s, weekly bull market support band and the 0.5 FIB. Hold that zone and all is well Doge will end up bouncing higher. Fail it then your going back down into the shadow realm at the .14-.12 cents level.”

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The accompanying chart—set to the one-day timeframe—depicts DOGE’s advance into the $0.26–$0.28 “macro golden pocket,” a term traders typically use for the 61.8%–65% Fibonacci retracement cluster that often caps counter-trend moves. Kevin’s map highlights how the rejection there coincides with a dense shelf of historical supply and a clearly defined horizontal resistance band dating back to prior distribution.

Dogecoin technical analysis
Dogecoin technical analysis | Source: X @Kev_Capital_TA

The subsequent slide has brought DOGE back into a breadth of confluent supports: a cluster of key daily moving averages, the analyst’s “weekly bull market support band,” and the 50% retracement of the prior swing, all stacked between $0.213 and $0.189. Confluence of this kind—multiple widely watched signals occupying the same price zone—often becomes a battleground; a decisive defense can restore trend structure, while a breach can accelerate liquidations.

Community responses pressed the analyst on consistency and risk framing. One user, @SmRatul1994, challenged the shift in tone: “You just said Doge was very well positioned a couple weeks ago. Now you’re saying the opposite which things change so quickly?”

Kevin replied that his guidance has been contextual and level-driven rather than directional at all costs. “I remember telling people to take profits at .40+ cents in December a buy at .14 cents twice this year both of which produced 70+% gains and I also remember telling people to take profits at the highs both times. Don’t cry in the casino buddy. I have been saying BTC and the Altcoin market was at major resistance for over a week now,” he said.

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Another commenter, @anthonyzamanz, noted the market’s correlation to Bitcoin—“Also all depend where Bitcoin will go…”—to which Kevin answered, “yes sir,” underscoring the top-down dependency altcoins retain on BTC’s path.

When a separate user quipped, “To summarize, dogecoin will go up, if not it will go down,” Kevin distilled the thesis back to the levels: “Hold those levels and go up if not go down. You almost had it.”

In practical terms, the roadmap laid out is binary and technical. A sustained bid inside $0.213–$0.189 would argue for continuation, potentially setting up another attempt at the $0.26–$0.28 range that capped the recent push.
Losing that band on convincing volume and closing structure would, in Kevin’s words, open the “shadow realm” below, with $0.14–$0.12 flagged as the next major demand pocket.

For now, the chart places DOGE squarely at confluence, with bulls tasked to convert the moving-average cluster and mid-range Fibonacci support into a durable base before any serious discussion of upside resumes. As ever in altcoin cycles, the analyst and several respondents emphasized that Bitcoin’s behavior will likely arbitrate the outcome.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.205.

Dogecoin price
DOGE falls below the 200-day EMA, 1-day chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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