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Dogecoin Hits A 'Blood In The Streets' Moment: Buy Or Sell Now?
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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Dogecoin Hits A ‘Blood In The Streets’ Moment: Buy Or Sell Now?

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
4 months ago
3 mins read
Dogecoin price news

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Dogecoin (DOGE) has again found itself in the crosshairs of market watchers, with a “blood in the streets” moment emerging according to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment. The firm’s latest research, shared on January 8 via X, highlights a series of negative MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratios across the crypto landscape—encompassing Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and Dogecoin.

“Average trading returns are a great representation of whether ‘buying low’ or ‘selling high’ is actually the right timing,” Santiment stated, stressing that current on-chain metrics point toward an environment where many crypto assets are sitting in oversold territory.

“When MVRV’s are negative, this means a buy or addition to your holding is doing so while others are already at a loss. Historically, these ‘blood in the streets’ moments are when professional traders make money,” Samtiment writes.

The data Santiment published includes the 30-day MVRV ratios for four major assets as of January 8. Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio is at -3.73%, Ethereum’s at -7.71%, Cardano’s at -6.69% and Dogecoin’s at -8.89%.

MVRV ratios
MVRV ratio for BTC, ETH, ADA, DOGE | Source: X @santimentfeed

In simple terms, MVRV compares the total market capitalization of a cryptocurrency (its “Market Value”) with the total cost basis of holders (its “Realized Value”). A negative MVRV often indicates that the average holder is currently underwater on their position.

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For Dogecoin, the -8.89% MVRV ratio suggests that—on average—investors who acquired DOGE in the last 30 days are sitting on notable unrealized losses. This contrasts with BTC’s less pronounced -3.73%, indicating that Dogecoin’s short-term holders are, on average, deeper in the red relative to Bitcoin’s. Ethereum (-7.71%) and Cardano (-6.69%) also face negative territory, but their holders are faring slightly better than Dogecoin over the past month.

Because DOGE’s MVRV is the most negative among the four mentioned, there is potential for a stronger recovery bounce if market conditions stabilize. However, it also underscores higher risk if broader crypto sentiment remains fragile. As Santiment noted, traders often scan for negative MVRV as a potential opportunity to “buy low,” but this is by no means a guarantee of immediate upside.

Buy Or Sell Dogecoin Now?

Santiment’s analysis further emphasizes how macroeconomic forces have accelerated the crypto market’s recent sell-off. On Tuesday, January 7, US bond yields surged following unexpectedly robust economic indicators, with the 10-year Treasury rising to 4.67%.

Much of the market anxiety focused on the higher-than-expected ISM Prices Paid Index, a metric that can herald inflation, as well as a surprise uptick in the JOLTS job openings data. With signs of labor market tightness and possible inflation pressures, investors pivoted to risk-off strategies, hitting crypto assets across the board.

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“Crypto markets sink further, indicating short to midterm buy zones for most assets,” reads Santiment’s published chart. In this vein, Dogecoin’s current downturn lines up with the broader market narrative. If yields and inflation concerns continue to dominate headlines, we can anticipate more cautious capital flows into risk assets. Conversely, any signal of cooling inflation or a less restrictive Federal Reserve stance might catalyze a rally—one that could be amplified by negative MVRV ratios across the board.

Nevertheless, the contrasting signals make for a tricky trading environment. On one hand, Santiment’s metrics point to advantageous historical conditions for those looking to accumulate, notably for DOGE at -8.89% MVRV. On the other, uncertain macro data—ranging from Treasury yields to inflation prints—could hamper any near-term recovery.

For now, Santiment’s outlook is measured: “Do not assume these opportunity zone signals will lead to an immediate turnaround. But probabilities are pointing to at least a short to mid term turnaround for crypto shortly, assuming economic or geopolitical factors don’t get in the way.”

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.33.

Dogecoin price
Dogecoin holds above key support, 1-day chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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