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Breaking News: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow
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Breaking News: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow

Dogecoin Bull Run Could Start On September 13, Analyst Predicts

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
3 weeks ago
3 mins read
Dogecoin price news

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Dogecoin could see its first meaningful turn higher around September 13, according to crypto analyst VisionPulsed, who argues the current drawdown fits a post-halving template in which markets remain weak until roughly 510–511 days after Bitcoin’s supply cut before staging a final run. In a video published on September 1, he told viewers, “I would argue starting around September 13th, the selling may subside… 511 days post halving last cycle, we were already going back up. 511 days post halving the cycle before that we were already going back up.”

Dogecoin Pain May End September 13

The analyst frames the present weakness as part of a longer, slower cycle characterized by extended ranges rather than deeper collapses. “Unfortunately, we’re still going down,” he said, adding that in this cycle “the corrections have been longer… every time we go sideways, it’s forever.” He points to historical windows of September weakness—citing September 2–26 in 2021 and a shorter November dip in 2017—as signposts that align, by coincidence or causality, with the post-halving rhythm he tracks.

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VisionPulsed’s timing call is backed by the liquidity gauge M2, which he contends continues to correlate with crypto leadership even as that leadership rotates between assets. “Some people are saying the M2 doesn’t work anymore. I would disagree,” he said. In his view, the indicator “followed Solana basically to the tee” in 2023, then tracked Bitcoin, and more recently has matched flows into Ethereum and BNB as Bitcoin dominance fades. “Let’s not pretend BNB is not going up with the liquidity,” he said, while conceding, “I’m not going to sit here telling you that I know exactly where the liquidity is going to go next… I don’t know.”

That leadership rotation, he argues, helps explain why some large-cap tokens lag. “Maybe our coins are not getting affected by the liquidity ’cause our coins are rubbish,” he said. He suggested that assets which already printed cycle-highs may see limited additional upside, extending the same logic to Bitcoin by arguing its ultimate peak may be closer than many expect: “Maybe it’s $140,000. Maybe it’s $130,000. It’s not going to $200,000.” He also claimed that XRP’s structure shows prior all-time highs on his charts, adding that it has not been participating in the latest liquidity impulse.

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For Dogecoin specifically, the analyst’s base case is that it remains down the market-cap leaderboard and has yet to benefit from the liquidity rotation that favored Bitcoin first, then Ethereum and BNB, with “slight” spillover to Solana. He cautioned that a broader “altseason” remains contingent on traditional risk appetite, pointing to the Russell 2000’s inability to break to new highs.

“Until we have that present, I really wouldn’t be looking for an alt season,” he said, quantifying the lag between prior halvings and a confirmed small-cap equities breakout as roughly 18 days, then 123 days, then 190 days—versus more than 480 days without such a breakout in the current cycle. “Yes, this is the worst market cycle to date,” he said. “There’s no question. But that doesn’t mean it has to not happen. It just might be taking longer than we might have wanted it to.”

While he pins September 13 as the earliest window for relief, VisionPulsed warned that the subsequent liquidity setup is noisier. He highlighted a zone from roughly September 14 to October 24 in which his M2 gauge tends to get “wonky,” noting that previous instances still allowed for a final all-time-high push even as the underlying measure wavered.

“Will we go up for a top or will we just be bearish forever and ever? We’re going to find out together,” he said. For now, he concluded, “we are still bearish as of now,” emphasizing that the thesis is probabilistic and time-dependent rather than a guarantee.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.21.

Dogecoin price
DOGE needs to hold above the EMA200, 1-day chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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