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Chartist Slams Misleading Dogecoin Analysis: ‘Focus On This’
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Hits ATH Of $112,000, Expert Predicts Rally Is Just Beginning

Chartist Slams Misleading Dogecoin Analysis: ‘Focus On This Instead’

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
4 days ago
3 mins read
Dogecoin price analysis

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Technical analyst Kevin, better known on X as @Kev_Capital_TA, rekindled debate over Dogecoin’s market structure on Sunday when he urged traders to ignore the “non-stop TA on DOGE for engagement purposes” and to concentrate on the two signals that have guided the meme-coin’s price for more than two years. “Not much has changed for Dogecoin here,” he wrote. “Don’t let the other analysts on this platform flood you with non stop TA on DOGE for engagement purposes. We know what to watch for here.”

Dogecoin’s Fate Hinges On This

Kevin’s view hinges on the weekly chart he posted on 26 June. At that time, Dogecoin (DOGE) was hovering near $0.166—and, according to his chart, sitting directly on an ascending support cluster that has defined every major move since the 2022 bear-market washout. “Looking at Dogecoin on the weekly time frame,” he said, “you can see that ever since the bear market breakout on the weekly RSI back in 2022, any time DOGE has hit that level again—which has happened five times now—Doge has gone on to see major bounces. A failure of this weekly RSI level along with a failure of the $0.143-$0.127 level would be the line in the sand between longer term bearish price action or continued bull.”

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The chart shows Dogecoin sitting just millimetres above a confluence of the green 0.382 Fibonacci retracement ($0.13778), the upper boundary of a falling trend line that has been in force since May 2021 and the weekly 200 SMA and EMA. Previously, Kevin stated via X: “Weekly 200 SMA and EMA are must holds for Dogecoin along with the macro .382 and down trending support.” Beneath lies the horizontal “line in the sand” at $0.143-$0.127—a zone Kevin has ring-fenced with bold yellow trend lines.

Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin price analysis | Source: X @Kev_Capital_TA

Below the price pane, the weekly Relative Strength Index tells an equally focused story. Kevin has drawn a white band just above the 40-line; the yellow RSI profile has now tapped that band five times. Each tag coincided with a price trough circled in orange on the main chart. The oscillator’s simple moving average (plotted in magenta) has curled below 50 but remains above the 40-support, keeping the pattern intact.

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Overhead, Kevin’s chart maps a hierarchy of Fibonacci checkpoints: the 0.5 retracement at $0.18988 (red), the tightly stacked 0.618 ($0.26169) and 0.65 ($0.28548) (yellow), and the 0.786 ($0.41317) (blue). Two large violet supply boxes—one between $1.00 and $1.30 and another around $2.20 and $2.70—represent possible bull run targets. Kevin refrains from forecasting how quickly those zones might come into play, emphasising instead that holding the current support cluster is the single prerequisite for any higher-time-frame bullish thesis.

The analyst also zoomed out to the broader digital-asset landscape in a Sunday follow-up. “The biggest moves for #Altcoins have yet to occur,” he argued, tying potential break-outs to macro-economic easing. “If the macro leads us to further easing and the market sniffs that out … then the ingredients will be in place for a massive move higher on Alts. Altcoins have always required the proper ingredients to make a sustained out-performance over #BTC for months. We’re closer than many understand; we just need a few more things to fall into place.”

For now, Kevin’s message is stripped to its essentials: watch the weekly RSI band and the $0.143-$0.127 price shelf. As long as both survive, the chartist sees no reason to overhaul his structural bias—no matter how crowded the Dogecoin commentary stream becomes.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.172.

Dogecoin price analysis
DOGE price, 1-day chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Reason to trust

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