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Bitcoin Shows Rare Buy Signal With 84% Win Rate, $80,000 Next?
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Bitcoin Price Prints Rare Buy Signal With 84% Win Rate, $80,000 Coming?

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
10 months ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin price buy signal

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After rising by more than 28% over the 16 days, the Bitcoin price was rejected at key resistance at $68,500 on Sunday. Since then, the BTC price is displaying a slight pullback, but according to Charles Edwards, the founder of Capriole Investments, investors can expect the bullish momentum to continue. Edwards shared the chart below and stated via X, “BREAKING: Hash Ribbon buy signal just fired.”

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon buy signal
Bitcoin Hash Ribbon buy signal | Source: X @caprioleio

Why The Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Matter

This statement is significant, as the hash ribbons have historically been a reliable indicator, with an 84% accuracy rate in predicting Bitcoin’s major price bottoms. The hash ribbons are predicated on the interplay between the Bitcoin hash rate—the total computational power used to mine and process transactions—and Bitcoin’s market price.

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Analysts observe that a drop in Bitcoin’s price or an increase in operational costs, such as electricity, may cause miners to halt operations temporarily. This period, known as ‘miner capitulation,’ is crucial because a resumption in mining activity is typically viewed as a bullish signal for Bitcoin’s price.

The indicator itself is derived from the moving averages of the Bitcoin hash rate; specifically, the 30-day and 60-day moving averages. A ‘Buy’ signal occurs when the shorter-term moving average crosses above the longer-term average after a period of miner capitulation, indicating that the worst of the sell-off may be over and a recovery phase is likely imminent.

Crypto analyst Jelle, known on X as @CryptoJelleNL, commented, “Hash ribbons are showing that minor capitulation is over! This signal prints after every halving event, and after major corrections — and suggests the next leg of expansion is just around the corner. Time for 80k+?”

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Further supporting the bullish sentiment, the account @DaFinancialPage noted on X, “Miner Capitulation. The Hash Ribbons indicator’s blue buy signal has appeared 19 times. Of those, 16 marked Bitcoin’s macro low, giving it an 84% win rate. The 3 times it didn’t, a major correction followed.”

Thus, the appearance of the hash ribbon ‘Buy’ signal can be interpreted as a strong indicator for the next bullish phase in Bitcoin’s market cycle. However, the three instances when the signal failed to predict a significant rise highlight the inherent risks and uncertainties with every indicator.

Notably, technical analysis aligns closely with the anticipated target of $80,000 discussed by Jelle. The 1.272 Fibonacci extension is sitting at approximately $79,337. However, before a new all-time high can be explored, Bitcoin must secure support at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $65,943 in the daily chart, which could act as a critical juncture. Subsequent levels at the 0.786 Fibonacci at $69,384 and the 1.0 Fibonacci at $73,767 serve as potential interim targets.

At press time, BTC traded at $66,403.

Bitcoin price
BTC price, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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