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Bitcoin Is 'Highly Likely' In A Supercycle: Expert Explains Why
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Bitcoin Is ‘Highly Likely’ In A Supercycle: Expert Explains Why

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
5 months ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin supercycle

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Renowned macro analyst Alex Krüger posits that Bitcoin is “highly likely” in a supercycle. Krüger articulated his perspective via X, emphasizing the distinct trajectory Bitcoin is currently undertaking compared to previous market cycles.

A Bitcoin supercycle is a theoretical phase wherein Bitcoin’s price is anticipated to ascend extraordinarily, surpassing its traditional boom-and-bust cycles. This concept implies a prolonged period of growth fueled by increased mainstream adoption, leading to a significantly stronger and more enduring upward trajectory than the typical four-year halving cycle that Bitcoin historically follows.

Is Bitcoin In A Supercycle?

With regard to President-elect Donald Trump‘s pro-Bitcoin U-turn and his plan to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, Krüger remarked: “Do yourself a favor and stop comparing this cycle to prior cycles. Bitcoin is highly likely in a supercycle. The crypto industry has just experienced its most dramatic change in history, a fundamentally driven 180 degree turn,” the analyst stated.

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Krüger also referred to the rapid evolution of the Bitcoin and crypto sector, noting that it transitioned “from a barely legal pariah detested by the state, to one of the top industries embraced by the state” within weeks—a change he describes as “so extreme it’s hard to find comparables in modern times.”

Drawing parallels to historical financial shifts, Krüger highlighted the transformative impact of the 1970s on gold. “Maybe gold in the 1970s is one. The 1970s was a transformative decade for gold. Nixon’s ending of the Gold Standard in 1971, dismantling Bretton Woods, sent gold surging from $35 per ounce to $850 in 1981,” he explained.

Krüger also addressed the timing of Bitcoin’s potential peak, suggesting that expecting a major local top around March is reasonable based on his previous analyses. “This would be heavily dependent on the slope of ascent, funding rates, and the broader economy. But one should not equate a major local top with the beginning of the bear market,” he noted.

While acknowledging the possibility of a bear market, he emphasized that “the conditions for it are not yet there. It’s also too soon to be expecting a top. Bitcoin bull-runs always last for many months. It’s only been 33 days since Trump unleashed the Kraken.”

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Highlighting the precarious nature of market sentiment, Krüger added a cautionary note: “The moment you all finally believe what I just wrote, then it will [be] the top.” With this statement Krüger underscores the psychological factors that often influences market dynamics, particularly the collective belief in market peaks.

X user Paradox Parrot (@Paradoxparrot) commented on Krüger’s assertion, stating, “Agree. But, ‘this time is different’ is a good way to round trip back down.” In response, Krüger acknowledged the cyclical skepticism surrounding altcoins, asserting, “Sure. Alts will round trip most of it. It’s the nature of the beast. Mind this time has already been proven different multiple times at many levels. I’ve anticipated and covered that here in detail since mid 2023. Btw alts round trip for 2 reasons. A) lack of fundamentally driven demand. And more importantly B) illiquidity (that’s also why they go up in such a vertical manner).”

Despite Krüger’s optimistic outlook, not all experts concur with the supercycle hypothesis. Chris Burnsike, partner at Placeholder VC, offered a contrasting view on X on December 7: “Bookmark it for later: a supercycle is never real – everything is cyclical, though cycles can vary. […] Buying into the idea of a supercycle is how you never sell and roundtrip. Ask anyone who never sold in 2021.”

At press time, BTC traded at $98,287.

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Bitcoin price, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

Read more

His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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