Bitcoin Price Key Highlights
- Bitcoin price recently broke below a short-term triangle, tested a longer-term trend line, and is back to testing the all-time highs.
- If this continues to keep gains in check, a drop back to the rising support zone could be seen.
- On the other hand, a strong bullish catalyst could lead to the creation of new highs.
Bitcoin price regained enough bullish momentum to climb back close to its all-time highs, waiting for the next catalyst for a bounce or a break.
Technical Indicators Signals
The 100 SMA is still above the longer-term 200 SMA after seemingly gearing up for a downward crossover earlier this week. This indicates that buyers are putting up a fight and that the path of least resistance is still to the upside or that the rally is more likely to continue than to reverse.
Stochastic is turning lower from overbought levels, however, so there may still be some bearish pressure in place. RSI is also turning lower without even hitting overbought levels, suggesting that sellers are excited to hop in or that profit-taking is happening at these key levels.
If the bearish pressure keeps up, price could retest support at $5200 or the rising trend line. The moving averages might also hold as near-term dynamic inflection points.
Market Factors
Bitcoin price has recovered swiftly from the selloff that occurred on speculations that the CFTC will regulate cryptocurrencies. Traders took this as an opportunity to buy at much cheaper levels and ride the uptrend which could last way past the next network upgrade next month.
At the same time, geopolitical risk is propping bitcoin price up as uncertainties in Europe and New Zealand are front and center. In the latter, NZF decided to back the Labour party, which is seen to oppose the status quo as well. Catalonia is still at odds with the Spanish government when it comes to its independence while the Austrian polls have also reflected leaning to the far-right.
As for the dollar, uncertainty about the next Fed Chairperson is also limiting gains. Trump is said to be inclined towards appointing Powell, who is one of the more dovish candidates.