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This Bitcoin Metric Is "One Of Crypto's Top Leading Indicators": Santiment
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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

This Bitcoin Metric Is “One Of Crypto’s Top Leading Indicators”: Santiment

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
1 year ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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The on-chain analytics firm Santiment has explained how this Bitcoin indicator has been one of the top leading indicators in the cryptocurrency market.

Holdings Of Bitcoin Investors With At Least 10 BTC May Correlate To Price

In a new post on X, Santiment has discussed about a metric that has historically been one of the top leading indicators in the sector. The metric in question is the total amount of supply held by the Bitcoin investors carrying at least 10 BTC in their wallets.

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At the current exchange rate of the cryptocurrency, this cutoff is equivalent to around $683,000. As such, the investors holding sums of this scale or higher would be larger than the regular retail holders.

Key groups such as sharks and whales fall in this range. These cohorts are generally considered to be influential beings, so their behavior can be worth keeping an eye on.

While the 10+ BTC group wouldn’t solely include these large investors, the trend in its holdings would still at least in part encapsulate what these key holders would be doing.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the combined holdings of investors carrying balance in this range over the last few years:

Bitcoin Key Groups
The value of the metric appears to have been climbing up over the last few weeks | Source: Santiment on X

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin supply held by investors belonging to this group has been going up recently, suggesting that accumulation has been occurring from the large holders.

According to Santiment, there has historically been a pattern between the price and the behavior of the investors falling in this range. “When they accumulate, cryptocurrencies rise. When they dump, extended bear markets come,” explains the analytics firm.

Instances of this trend are also visible in the chart. The supply held by this cohort started rising in October 2019 and kept up the rise throughout the bull run that followed in 2021.

In February 2022, the behavior of these Bitcoin investors changed, however, as their combined holdings started heading down instead. This led into the bear market.

The decline stopped after the FTX crash back in November 2022 and the holdings of these investors took to sideways movement in 2023. At the end of the year, another shift finally happened as the metric gained an uptrend.

This accumulation likely kicked off because of the imminent spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval in January. These investors kept up this buying pressure post-approval as well, which all culminated into the rally towards the new all-time high (ATH).

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Despite the struggle that Bitcoin has faced recently, the trend in the indicator hasn’t flipped. As such, more bullish price action could be ahead for the asset, if historical pattern is to go by.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has fallen back to sideways movement recently, with its price trading around $68,300 at the moment.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Looks like the price of the coin has been stale over the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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