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As Ethereum (ETH) approaches the significant $4,000 mark, outperforming Bitcoin (BTC), analysts from The Kobeissi Letter are declaring that the cryptocurrency is making history.
They highlight the ongoing short squeeze as one of the largest ever witnessed in the crypto market, with Ethereum’s market capitalization skyrocketing by over $150 billion since July 1.
Ethereum Price Surge Driven By Record Short Exposure
The surge in Ethereum’s price follows a period of unprecedented net short exposure, which had reached record highs just before the recent rally. According to data from Zerohedge, net leverage shorts on Ethereum were approximately 25% higher than levels observed in February 2025.
This overwhelming short positioning has catalyzed a 70% increase in ETH’s value in less than a month. Plus, Trump’s World Liberty Financial made headlines with a substantial $5 million Ethereum purchase less than 24 hours ago, further igniting the short squeeze fueled by institutional capital.
Interestingly, prior to the price surge, BlackRock’s exchange-traded fund (ETF) had been steadily acquiring Ethereum, adding to its holdings on 29 of the last 30 days.
Despite this accumulation, prices dipped due to the influx of leveraged short exposure, indicating that some market participants anticipated the upcoming rally.
As a result, billions of dollars in short positions are being liquidated, and analysts predict that if Ethereum rises another 10%, another $1 billion in shorts could be wiped out.
According to the analysts, the presence of leveraged shorts amplifies the pressure on these positions, potentially pushing Ethereum prices closer to the $4,000 benchmark.
Major Macroeconomic Shifts Ahead?
In a significant development, reports suggest that President Trump is set to sign an executive order allowing 401(k) retirement plans to invest in cryptocurrency.
This would represent one of the most bullish moves in the crypto space, unlocking access to roughly $8.7 trillion in U.S. 401(k) assets. Such an influx of capital is expected to dramatically reshape the landscape of digital assets.
Additionally, the recent passage of three major crypto bills in the US House—the Clarity Act, the Genius Act, and the Anti-CBDC Act—has garnered bipartisan support, further solidifying the legitimacy of the crypto industry in the eyes of lawmakers.
Institutional investors are also increasingly allocating assets under management to crypto, recognizing its impressive 90% compound annual growth rate over the past 13 years, which has outperformed nearly every traditional asset class.
Looking ahead, the analysts highlight that the prevailing themes driving the crypto market suggest that the industry as a whole may be on the brink of significant macroeconomic shifts.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com