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Breaking News: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow
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Breaking News: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Are Selling at a Loss: What This Means For BTC

Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme
8 months ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin Crashes After $94K Surge—Key Market Signals Reveal What’s Coming Next

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Amid Bitcoin’s ongoing upward momentum in price, a key on-chain Bitcoin metric has been observed that offers clues about the market’s next direction.

This notable indicator known as the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) which reveals the behavior of Short-Term Holders (STHs) has shown that STHs have started to sell at a loss.

This metric compares 30-day STH SOPR to its 365-day counterpart and provides insight into whether short-term investors are realizing profits or losses.

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Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Realized Losses

To grasp what the Short-Term Holder’s current selling at a loss means for the market, it’s important to first understand its broader market implications. Darkfost, the CryptoQuant analyst behind the revelation of this data reveals that when STH SOPR turns negative, two scenarios often unfold “holding” and “capitulation”

The analyst mentioned that some STHs may hold their BTC, using their realized price as a potential support level, while others could capitulate, triggering further corrections. Historically, these periods of STH losses have marked attractive entry points for long-term investors.

BTC short-term holders start to sell at a loss

“Historically, when this metric turns negative, it often highlights attractive entry points for the long term.” – By @Darkfost_Coc

Read more 👇https://t.co/A4jLhI7hMG pic.twitter.com/zeg31MtQqc

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 21, 2025

However, he further emphasizes that confirming such signals requires examining additional metrics and assessing the overall market sentiment. In Darkfost words:

Historically, when this metric turns negative, it often highlights attractive entry points for the long term. However, it’s essential to confirm such signals by cross-referencing with other metrics and assessing the broader market sentiment.
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR).
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR). | Source: CryptoQuant

MVRV Ratio Highlights Potential Market Trends

Besides the STH realized losses suggesting potential attractive entry points for long-term investors, Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has also indicated an interesting trend incoming for Bitcoin.

Another CryptoQuant analyst known as Tugbachain recently shared in a post on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform that currently, the MVRV ratio stands at 2.4, and it is approaching a key support level.

Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value ratio.
Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value Ratio. | Source: CryptoQuant

If it breaks below this support and then reverses its downtrend, it could climb back into the 4-6 range historically associated with Bitcoin peaks, the analyst reveals.

For context, the MVRV ratio is an indicator that measures whether a cryptocurrency is overvalued or undervalued by comparing its market capitalization to the value at which it was last moved.

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8 months ago

According to Tugbachain, over multiple halving cycles, the MVRV ratio has proven to be a reliable tool for identifying market tops and bottoms, as well as shorter-term fluctuations adding credibility to the latest indication.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme

Samuel Edyme

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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