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In a post on X published yesterday, Jeff Park, Head of Alpha Strategies at Bitwise, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) currently presents a “generational opportunity” amid intensifying global macroeconomic turmoil.
Park pointed to factors such as US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs, concerns over the US debt ceiling, and the growing sentiment of deglobalization as key contributors to the current economic uncertainty.
Bitcoin Reigns Supreme Amid Global Political And Economic Turmoil
The year 2025 has started on an unstable footing, marked by rising global economic and political instability due to trade tariffs, US debt ceiling issues, and the broader push toward deglobalization. These factors could significantly impact financial markets and geopolitical stability.
Adding to the uncertainty is the impending expiration of the US Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) later this year, which could lead to unprecedented tax policy shifts and heightened economic unpredictability.
Park also underscored the “gold run tail risk,” referencing gold’s extreme price volatility during periods of financial distress. At the time of writing, gold is trading at $2,900 per ounce, up significantly from around $2,585 in December 2024.
Despite these mounting risks, Bitcoin has remained resilient, maintaining a price range between $90,000 and $100,000. Park highlighted BTC’s implied volatility (IV) percentile – a measure that reflects how its current volatility compares to historical levels.
He noted that BTC’s IV percentile is at its lowest level of the year, reinforcing his view that Bitcoin presents a “generational opportunity.” Echoing this sentiment, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley remarked that many are underestimating “the massive leaps Bitcoin is going to take into the mainstream this year.”
Indeed, Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream traction and demonstrate resilience amid rising global economic uncertainty. For example, BTC remained largely unaffected by the tech market sell-off triggered by the release of the Chinese AI model DeepSeek.
No Altseason Anytime Soon?
As Bitcoin strengthens its dominance, the altcoin market has struggled, weighed down by thin liquidity and waning retail interest. One key indicator supporting this trend is Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), which measures BTC’s market cap relative to the total cryptocurrency market.
The weekly BTC.D chart shows a strong rebound from around 54% in December 2024. At the time of writing, BTC.D stands at 60.65%, a level not seen since March 2021.
That said, some analysts remain optimistic about a potential Ethereum-led (ETH) altseason later in 2025. Recent analysis by Titan of Crypto suggests that Ethereum is poised for a major upward move this year.
The analyst also pointed out similarities between ETH’s current price action and BTC’s behavior during its third market cycle, implying that Ethereum may soon enter what he calls its “most hated rally.” At press time, BTC trades at $95,362, down 0.4% in the past 24 hours.
