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Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Hits 60-Day Low: Is This Bullish?
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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Hits 60-Day Low: Is This Bullish?

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
4 months ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross has plummeted recently. Here’s what this could mean for BTC’s price.

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Has Plunged Into Bottom Zone Recently

As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the BTC NVT Golden Cross has declined to the lowest level in two months recently. The “NVT Ratio” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the Bitcoin market cap and transaction volume.

When the value of this metric is high, it means the value of the network (that is, the market cap) is high compared to its ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). Such a trend implies the asset may be overvalued.

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On the other hand, the indicator being low suggests the cryptocurrency could be due to a bullish rebound as its volume is high compared to its market cap.

In the context of the current topic, the normal version of the NVT Ratio isn’t of interest, but rather a modified form known as the NVT Golden Cross. This metric compares the short-term trend of the NVT Ratio with its long-term one to determine whether its value is near a top or bottom.

The NVT Golden Cross uses the 10-day moving average (MA) of the NVT Ratio to track short-term trends and the 30-day MA for long-term ones.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross over the last couple of months:

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross
The value of the metric appears to have been going down over the last few weeks | Source: CryptoQuant

In the graph, the quant has highlighted two zones that have historically proven to be relevant to the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. The red zone, situated above a value of 2.2, is where the indicator has been the most likely to see a reversion to the mean zero level.

Similarly, the green zone corresponding to values under -1.6 is where bottoms in the metric have tended to form. As the color coding already implies, ventures into these zones have often meant a bullish and bearish outcome for BTC, respectively.

From the chart, it’s apparent that the NVT Golden Cross surged into the overheated territory around the time of last month’s price top. Since then, the indicator has gradually been making its way down, with its value today finding itself submerged in the undervalued region.

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The current value of -2.21 is the lowest that the metric has been in around 60 days. Given the historical pattern, it’s possible that this could imply Bitcoin may be near a local bottom, if one isn’t already in.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has settled into a phase of sideways movement during the last few days as its price is still trading around the $105,200 mark.

Bitcoin Price Chart
The price of the coin appears to have been following a flat trajectory recently | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from iStock.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

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