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Bitcoin May Surge To $200,000 By Mid-2025 Amid 'Mild' Price Pullbacks: Report
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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin May Surge To $200,000 By Mid-2025 Amid ‘Mild’ Price Pullbacks: Report

Ash Tiwari
Ash Tiwari
5 months ago
3 mins read
bitcoin

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In a report published on December 17, analysts at cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex stated that a combination of rising institutional adoption of Bitcoin (BTC) and bullish technical indicators could push the leading cryptocurrency as high as $200,000 by mid-2025. The report also predicts that any price corrections during 2025 are likely to ‘remain mild.’

Bitcoin Pullbacks To Be Mild In 2025

Earlier this month, Bitcoin crossed the psychologically significant $100,000 price level, pushing its total market capitalization to slightly above $2 trillion at the time of writing. However, according to the latest edition of the Bitfinex Alpha report, BTC still has significant potential for growth heading into 2025.

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The report highlights several technical indicators, including market value to realized value (MVRV), net unrealized profit/loss (NUPL), and the bull-bear market cycle indicator, which collectively suggest that the market still reflects bullish momentum and is far from hitting euphoric peaks.

According to Bitfinex analysts, while diminishing returns might temper Bitcoin’s extraordinary growth seen in previous cycles, the cryptocurrency could still reach $200,000 under ‘favorable conditions.’ The report states:

Our view is that any corrections in 2025 will remain mild, thanks to institutional inflows. Historically, post-halving years have seen the strongest rallies. Minimum price estimates stand at $145,000 by mid-2025, potentially stretching to $200,000 under favourable conditions.

Indeed, institutional inflows into Bitcoin through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have shown a steady upward trajectory, especially after Donald Trump’s win in the November presidential election. A recent analysis revealed that US spot ETFs now hold more BTC than the wallet of Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.

While the report projects a strong long-term bullish case, it cautions that some price volatility may emerge during Q1 2025. These pullbacks, however, are expected to be mild and short-lived. The report also notes that price corrections following Bitcoin halvings have been shrinking in size with each cycle:

In previous cycles, once Bitcoin entered price discovery following a halving, corrections before mean reversion to new ATHs were relatively contained. In the 2017 cycle, the maximum correction was 33.2 percent, while the 2020 cycle saw a slightly smaller correction of 27.1 percent.

Strategic Reserve May Extend BTC Gains

One unique factor in this Bitcoin cycle is the speculation surrounding the potential establishment of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve. Such a reserve could drive Bitcoin prices into the seven-figure range, according to Blockstream CEO Adam Back.

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VanEck Gives Official Backing To Donald Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Strategy

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Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at asset management firm Bitwise, recently noted that creating a strategic BTC reserve could propel the asset’s price to $500,000. Experts believe that if the US establishes a BTC reserve, other nations are likely to follow suit, creating a domino effect that could lead to a significant price surge.

In related news, Japanese Member of Parliament Satoshi Hamada floated the idea of Japan creating its own strategic BTC reserve. At press time, BTC trades at $103,953, down 3.7% in the past 24 hours.

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BTC trades at $103,953 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
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Ash Tiwari
Ash Tiwari

Ash Tiwari

Ash is a dedicated crypto researcher and blockchain enthusiast with a passion for diving deep into the evolving world of decentralized technologies. With a background in writing and a natural curiosity for how digital assets are shaping the future, he has immersed himself in various sectors of the cryptocurrency space, including decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and liquidity mining. His journey into crypto started with a desire to fully understand the technology behind it, leading him to explore and engage with these systems firsthand.

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Ash’s approach to DeFi goes beyond surface-level research as he actively participates in decentralized protocols, testing their functionality to gain a deeper understanding of how they operate. From experimenting with staking mechanisms to exploring liquidity mining strategies, he is hands-on in his exploration, which allows him to provide practical, real-world insights that go far beyond theoretical knowledge. This immersive experience has helped him develop a comprehensive grasp of smart contracts, token governance, and the broader implications of decentralized platforms on the future of finance.

In the NFT space, Ash’s interest is driven by the technology’s potential to reshape ownership and creativity in the digital age. He has explored various NFT projects, gaining insights into how these digital assets function within different ecosystems. His focus is on understanding the evolving relationship between creators and communities, as well as the innovative uses of blockchain technology to establish authenticity and provenance in the digital world. Ash’s research in this area often touches on the intersection of culture, technology, and community-driven projects.

A key area of his expertise lies in liquidity mining, where he has engaged with various decentralized platforms to understand how liquidity provision contributes to the functionality and security of DeFi ecosystems. Ash’s hands-on involvement has allowed him to analyze the risks, rewards, and broader implications of liquidity pools, giving him a well-rounded perspective on this integral part of DeFi. His understanding of risk management and protocol design allows him to provide insights into how these systems can be navigated effectively, with an emphasis on both opportunity and caution.

When it comes to communicating these complex topics, Ash’s writing is grounded in clarity and depth. He excels at breaking down intricate blockchain concepts into easily digestible information for a wide audience. Whether explaining the workings of decentralized exchanges or outlining the future potential of blockchain technology, Ash ensures that his content is accessible to both those new to the space and experienced participants looking for deeper insights.

Beyond DeFi and NFTs, Ash explores a wide array of emerging blockchain applications. His research spans areas like cross-chain technologies, decentralized governance, and blockchain’s potential to integrate with traditional finance. He is continuously learning and adapting to the latest developments, ensuring that his insights are both timely and relevant. His interest extends to how these technologies are creating new possibilities for decentralization, transparency, and trust in a variety of industries.

Ash’s commitment to engaging with the crypto space firsthand gives him a unique perspective that goes beyond what can be learned from research alone. His practical involvement allows him to stay ahead of the curve, offering readers and enthusiasts a clear and comprehensive understanding of the rapidly evolving world of blockchain. Whether delving into the technical mechanics of DeFi or exploring the cultural impact of NFTs, Ash’s approach is always rooted in curiosity, research, and a desire to make this technology accessible to all.

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