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Bitcoin Hype Remains Low Even After $63,000 Surge: Green Sign For Rally?
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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Hype Remains Low Even After $63,000 Surge: Green Sign For Rally?

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
8 months ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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Data shows the social media users have yet to show excessive hype around the latest Bitcoin rally, a sign that could be positive for its sustainability.

Bitcoin Sentiment Ratio Has Spiked, But Value Still Not Too High

According to data from the analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) has remained low through the latest rally. The indicator of relevance here is the “Positive Sentiment vs. Negative Sentiment Ratio,” which, as its name suggests, measures the ratio between the positive and negative comments around BTC being made on the major social media platforms.

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To separate the posts/threads/messages on these platforms between positive and negative, Santiment’s indicator uses a machine-learning model.

When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the social media users are making more posts expressing a positive sentiment than a negative one. On the other hand, it being under 1 suggests bearish messages are the norm on these platforms.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Positive Sentiment vs. Negative Sentiment Ratio over the last few months:

Bitcoin Sentiment
Looks like the value of the metric has been above one in recent days | Source: Santiment on X

As the above graph shows, this Bitcoin indicator has observed an uplift alongside the latest recovery run in the cryptocurrency’s price. This rally has come as the US Federal Reserve has announced an interest rate cut.

The indicator is currently decently above the neutral mark, meaning that positive posts notably outweigh the negative ones. Historically, the asset has tended to move in a direction opposite to what the crowd is expecting, with the probability of the contrary move going up the stronger this expectation becomes.

A very bullish market can be a warning sign for the BTC price. Despite the recent surge in sentiment, FOMO is not yet at a level where it would be a problem.

The chart shows that the previous spikes in the indicator that occurred around the tops for Bitcoin were of a significantly large scale. The last few months have also seen the indicator generally maintain a positive level, so the metric’s current value isn’t even that out of place when compared to the norm.

“Markets can roll until we see a bullish sentiment spike similar to what we saw during the April 19th and May 21st tops,” notes the analytics firm. If FOMO does end up spiking to high levels in the coming days, BTC could encounter another top.

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When that happens, another foray into the negative sentiment zone could be to wait since, as highlighted in the graph, the last two such instances proved to be profitable buying points into Bitcoin.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has enjoyed a surge of almost 6% over the past week, bringing its price back to the $63,200 mark.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Looks like the price of the coin has been marching up recently | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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