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Breaking News: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow
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Breaking News: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow

Bitcoin Holds Above 365-Day Moving Average, But Market Sentiment Remains Subdued

Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme
5 months ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin's Drop Below $100k Sparks Bearish Chatter, But Data Says Something Else

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Bitcoin has begun showing early signs of recovery following a recent correction that saw the asset fall to $74,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades above $82,000, inching closer to the $85,000 range with its market capitalization now sitting above $1.6 trillion.

A recent market report from CryptoQuant outlines several contributing factors to this rebound. According to the firm, crypto price volatility remained high throughout the week, fueled by trade tensions and macroeconomic developments.

Prices dipped sharply earlier in the week after retaliatory tariffs were introduced by China and the European Union. However, they began recovering on April 9 following the tariff suspension. The temporary policy reduced tariffs to 10% for most countries, while China remained subject to a 125% rate.

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Bitcoin Technical Support and Market Sentiment

CryptoQuant’s report also emphasized the importance of Bitcoin’s 365-day moving average (MA), which currently stands at $76,100. This level has previously served as a key technical support in historical market cycles, including in August 2024, July 2021, and December 2021.

The recent bounce from this level is being closely monitored as a potential base for a renewed uptrend. A breach below this moving average, however, would increase the likelihood of Bitcoin entering a bearish phase. Despite this positive movement, investor sentiment remains subdued. CryptoQuant noted in the report:

Nevertheless, although market sentiment has improved after the tariff pause, Bitcoin remains in one of its least bullish phases since November 2022, according to CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index. The Index is now at 10—its lowest reading since that time—signaling continued weak investor sentiment and a low probability of a sustained rally in the near term.

According to the firm, a longer-term rally is unlikely unless the score climbs above 40.  Furthermore, with BTC’s price currently on the rise, CryptoQuant mentioned that the asset could find resistance at $84,000 and $96,000—zones historically linked to the Trader Realized Price, which has served as both support and resistance in different market phases.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Altcoin Accumulation Signal Emerges

In a separate commentary, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost presented data that may indicate favorable conditions for altcoin accumulation. The analyst observed that the 30-day moving average of trading volume for altcoins paired with stablecoins has dropped below its annual average.

quicktake-image

This market behavior, according to Darkfost, has previously marked buying zones, with the last occurrence seen in September 2023. The analysis suggests that while Bitcoin’s near-term outlook remains uncertain, altcoins may be entering a phase conducive to dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategies.

Related Reading

Ethereum Long-Term Holders Show Signs Of Capitulation – Prime Accumulation Zone?

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Darkfost cautioned that these windows can last for weeks or months but have historically aligned with the early stages of altcoin market recoveries. If the macroeconomic environment stabilizes and capital flows return, these conditions could lead to broader participation across the crypto sector.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme

Samuel Edyme

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

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