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Bitcoin Dominance Sliding Below This Level Could Signal Start Of Altseason, Trading Firm Says
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Bitcoin Dominance Sliding Below This Level Could Signal Start Of Altseason, Trading Firm Says

Ash Tiwari
Ash Tiwari
6 months ago
3 mins read
bitcoin

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Bitcoin (BTC) continues its historic price trajectory, trading in the low $90,000 range at the time of writing. However, a trading firm suggests that Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) falling below a crucial level could signal the start of the long-anticipated altcoin season.

Interest Rate Cuts, Trump Administration To Propel Crypto

In a recent Telegram broadcast, Singapore-based trading firm QCP Capital shared its crypto market analysis. The firm highlighted Solana’s (SOL) recent performance, noting that it outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) over the weekend, surging more than 17% from Friday’s lows.

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Despite this, QCP Capital acknowledged that many investors remain hesitant to embrace the prospect of an imminent alt season, given Bitcoin’s steady climb toward the psychologically significant $100,000 mark. Rekt Capital’s analysis supports this sentiment, suggesting BTC is just beginning its parabolic phase.

QCP Capital, however, predicted that a combination of Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election and interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could set the stage for a full-blown altcoin season in the coming months.

Trading Firm Identifies Key Bitcoin Dominance Threshold For Altseason

According to QCP Capital, altcoins historically outperform major cryptocurrencies once the latter consolidate after significant rallies. The firm explained:

Historically, we’ve seen altcoins outperform whenever the majors consolidate after a significant rally as profits rotate into smaller-cap coins. BTC’s dominance is around 60% now and it will probably need to be around <58% to signal the start of altcoin season.

Currently, BTC.D stands at 60.10%. A look at the weekly chart shows that Bitcoin dominance has been on a steady uptrend since November 2022, when it hovered at 39.92%. Over this two-year period, most altcoins have underperformed Bitcoin significantly. 

bitcoin dominance
Bitcoin Dominance has been on a prolonged uptrend since November 2022 | Source: BTC.D on TradingView.com

However, altcoins have recently shown signs of recovery, coinciding with the growing likelihood of a pro-crypto Trump administration. Digital assets like SOL, Cardano (ADA), and XRP have significantly outperformed BTC in the past few weeks.

Related Reading

Ethereum Analyst Sees Altseason Potential As BTS Is Still Outpacing ETH – Time To Buy Altcoins?

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QCP Capital’s analysis aligns with that of crypto analyst @MikybullCrypto, who predicts BTC.D will decline starting in December. According to the analyst, altseason could begin toward the end of November and last until March 2025. 

milkybull analysis
Source: x.com

Some analysts believe Bitcoin may continue its rally before showing signs of weakness. For instance, Fundstrat’s head of research, Tom Lee, recently stated that BTC is on track to reach $100,000 before the end of the year.

That said, the altcoin market cap recently surged past a key resistance level, indicating that altcoin season might be closer than expected. At press time, BTC trades at $91,760, trading flat in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin
BTC trades at $91,760 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X.com and Tradingview.com
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Ash Tiwari
Ash Tiwari

Ash Tiwari

Ash is a dedicated crypto researcher and blockchain enthusiast with a passion for diving deep into the evolving world of decentralized technologies. With a background in writing and a natural curiosity for how digital assets are shaping the future, he has immersed himself in various sectors of the cryptocurrency space, including decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and liquidity mining. His journey into crypto started with a desire to fully understand the technology behind it, leading him to explore and engage with these systems firsthand.

Read more

Ash’s approach to DeFi goes beyond surface-level research as he actively participates in decentralized protocols, testing their functionality to gain a deeper understanding of how they operate. From experimenting with staking mechanisms to exploring liquidity mining strategies, he is hands-on in his exploration, which allows him to provide practical, real-world insights that go far beyond theoretical knowledge. This immersive experience has helped him develop a comprehensive grasp of smart contracts, token governance, and the broader implications of decentralized platforms on the future of finance.

In the NFT space, Ash’s interest is driven by the technology’s potential to reshape ownership and creativity in the digital age. He has explored various NFT projects, gaining insights into how these digital assets function within different ecosystems. His focus is on understanding the evolving relationship between creators and communities, as well as the innovative uses of blockchain technology to establish authenticity and provenance in the digital world. Ash’s research in this area often touches on the intersection of culture, technology, and community-driven projects.

A key area of his expertise lies in liquidity mining, where he has engaged with various decentralized platforms to understand how liquidity provision contributes to the functionality and security of DeFi ecosystems. Ash’s hands-on involvement has allowed him to analyze the risks, rewards, and broader implications of liquidity pools, giving him a well-rounded perspective on this integral part of DeFi. His understanding of risk management and protocol design allows him to provide insights into how these systems can be navigated effectively, with an emphasis on both opportunity and caution.

When it comes to communicating these complex topics, Ash’s writing is grounded in clarity and depth. He excels at breaking down intricate blockchain concepts into easily digestible information for a wide audience. Whether explaining the workings of decentralized exchanges or outlining the future potential of blockchain technology, Ash ensures that his content is accessible to both those new to the space and experienced participants looking for deeper insights.

Beyond DeFi and NFTs, Ash explores a wide array of emerging blockchain applications. His research spans areas like cross-chain technologies, decentralized governance, and blockchain’s potential to integrate with traditional finance. He is continuously learning and adapting to the latest developments, ensuring that his insights are both timely and relevant. His interest extends to how these technologies are creating new possibilities for decentralization, transparency, and trust in a variety of industries.

Ash’s commitment to engaging with the crypto space firsthand gives him a unique perspective that goes beyond what can be learned from research alone. His practical involvement allows him to stay ahead of the curve, offering readers and enthusiasts a clear and comprehensive understanding of the rapidly evolving world of blockchain. Whether delving into the technical mechanics of DeFi or exploring the cultural impact of NFTs, Ash’s approach is always rooted in curiosity, research, and a desire to make this technology accessible to all.

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