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Breaking News: Major Win For Memecoins: SEC Affirms They Typically Do Not Qualify As Securities

Five Technical Reasons The Bitcoin Bull Trend Is Taking A Breather

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
11 months ago
4 mins read
bitcoin MicroStrategy Michael Saylor on the ropes

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Bitcoin is currently experiencing a small correction by cryptocurrency standards. The last time the top cryptocurrency corrected from below $20,000, it touched under $6,000 weeks later. But the normally notoriously volatile crypto asset isn’t swinging quite as wildly as the peak of the 2017 bull run.

So while this isn’t likely the peak that causes another bear market, there are at least five technical reasons for the current correction that suggest Bitcoin is taking a quick breather before the final bullish impulse begins.

Bitcoin Bullish Impulse Reachs Exhaustion, Short-Term Reversal Probable

The gloves are on, and bear whales with large supplies of BTC are slugging it out with institutional buyers accumulating the cryptocurrency at whatever price they can get their hands on it.

Retail FOMO recently jumped in at the end just as the asset set a new all-time high. But “OG whales” are currently showing why they are the reigning heavyweight champs of the crypto space.

Related Reading | “Cyclical Nature Of Bitcoin” Could Provide Clues On Continuation Or Correction

The tides are turning, and the recent bull trend is beginning to wane. Technicals show extreme exhaustion was reached days ago, and now the momentum is fading as prices begin to fall. Five different technical indicators are all giving strong bearish signals on daily timeframes, but because the higher timeframes remain bullish, any downside is likely only a breather for Bitcoin.

Five Technical Indicators Forewarning Of A Needed Crypto Market Correction

The first technical indicator we’ll examine is called the Bollinger Bands and has a variety of features. It can be used to measure volatility through the width between each band, acts as support or resistance, and can be used for buy or sell signals.

The tool’s creator has even called for a potential top pattern in Bitcoin, but as an experienced trader was waiting for confirmation. That confirmation has potentially arrived with the bands beginning to “lift” downward, after passing through and failing to reclaim the middle-BB.

bitcoin bollinger bands

Bitcoin "rode the bands" at the first major close outside the top band | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Previously when the cryptocurrency fell to the middle-line, there was a bounce to another high. This time, however, failed to reproduce the same results.

A similar type of retest failed to break back above the Tenkan-Sen on the Ichimoku indicator. If the Tenkan-Sen (in blue) crosses below the Kijun-Sen (in red), the sell signal is confirmed.

Bitcoin has traded above both lines throughout most of Q4, supporting the entire rally. Losing the lines should result in a retest of the cloud below. bitcoin ichimoku

Things could get cloudy for crypto in the days ahead | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

As mentioned, the high timeframe bull trend is still intact, and each daily timeframe reversal is only a short breather in the cryptocurrency’s climb to the next major peak.

The chart below depicting the Relative Strength Index and Stochastic demonstrate how many turning points like this there have been in 2020 and suggest that this is more of the same low timeframe price action.

But they also show that this latest just swing just started, indicating a correction or consolidation is about to take place for at least a couple of weeks. Each of the below arrows depicting the direction of the trend change, and also acts as a trendline that when broken marks where momentum began to shift.

bitcoin rsi stoch

The RSI and Stoch show where Bitcoin reached overbought or oversold conditions | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Finally, the Average Directional Index – a trend measuring tool – is both showing that the trend is ending, but that there could be one last blow-off top left in the crypto asset.

Related Reading | Christmas Day Derivatives Expiry Could Deliver The Gift Of Dangerous Bitcoin Volatility

Each checkered flag in the chart below signifies the finish line for each trend. The white flag outlined in blue, however, resulted in a fakeout and one more high to let out any remaining bullish energy. Doing so, however, made the resulting downtrend worse.

btcusd adx

Has the trend ended completely, or is there a blow-off top coming? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Instances where the checked flag was waived and the correction was more quickly over with have been much healthier for Bitcoin and allowed it to recover and run more sustainably.

So while FOMO is fun to watch, and prices soaring is always nice, the cryptocurrency becoming too overheated too quickly doesn’t always yield consistently positive results.

Wishing for a quick, and even a sharp correction or this point is the best thing for the asset, as Black Thursday has clearly demonstrated. And getting the downside over with sooner than later will allow the bull run to blossom earlier as well.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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