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Breaking News: Major Win For Memecoins: SEC Affirms They Typically Do Not Qualify As Securities

XRP’s 30% Decline Falls To Bottom Of Cloud, Stormy Days Ahead If Support Fails

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
4 years ago
3 mins read

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XRP, like other major crypto assets Bitcoin and Ethereum, suffered a powerful collapse this week that turned sentiment from extreme greed to fear in a snap.

The altcoin called Ripple fell by over 30% from the 2020 high to the local low before rebounding. The fall also took the price per token to the very bottom of weekly Kumo support on the Ichimoku indicator – a potentially bullish signal that in the past led to all-time highs. Losing the cloud, however, could signal stormy days ahead for Ripple price.

XRP Falls 30% From 2020 Highs But Holds Strong At Bottom Of Cloud Support

Last week, after the crypto market reached a staggering 80% year-to-date ROI, the rug was pulled, and valuations began tumbling back down from 2020 highs.

From the peak price of 33 cents per XRP to a local low of 22 per token, represents a 30% fall within just three weeks. The abrupt and severe crash sent sentiment shifting toward fear, but not quite yet to the pandemic panic levels of Black Thursday.

Related Reading | XRP Plunges 20% From Highs: Here’s Why More Downside Is Expected

After an over 200% rally from 2020 lows, any correction may have simply been profit-taking and is nothing more than a healthy correction. It’s just due to how fast it happened that has crypto investors shaken.

Analysts are calling the recent crypto market price action a bullish retest of resistance turned support. And according to the Ichimoku indicator, that is exactly the case for XRPUSD.

ripple xrpusd

Ripple Weekly Price Chart Ichimoku Cloud Support | Source: TradingView

Ripple Effect: Losing Kumo In Past Caused 60% Crash, Recovering It Over 30,000% ROI

The top altcoin behind Ethereum may have fallen, but it is being held up by the one week cloud on the Ichimoku indicator.

The cloud or Kumo highlights where potential support and resistance levels may lie, among other signals. It also expands and contracts based on volatility, and twists from green to red when a bearish reversal is coming and vice versa.

Related Reading | Five Signs Bitcoin Dominance Has Bottomed: Are Altcoins Headed To Zero?

XRP holding above the bottom of weekly cloud support is bullish until the level is lost. Past Ripple price cycles may shed some light on what to expect in the coming days. In the past, the altcoin eventually lost the key level.

120 days later, it reclaimed it and went on an over 30,000% rally to its all-time high record. In less than 60 days alone, Ripple had rallied over 4,000%.

Although there’s a happy ending to this story, the crypto asset suffered an enormous plunge after losing the cloud support.  If the same happens again, XRP is in for some stormy cays ahead. The cryptocurrency crashed 60% after losing the bottom support of the Kumo in 2016.

ripple xrpusd weekly zoomed

Ripple Weekly Price Chart Ichimoku Cloud Support Comparison | Source: TradingView

However, there is one major difference this time around. The Ichimoku indicator itself can be overwhelming, with several other lines and indicators offering other information about the market.

For example, when the Tenken Sen and Kijun Sen lines cross, it can be a bullish or bearish signal depending on which is on top. In 2016, XRP was still bearish based on the crossover when it lost the cloud. This time around, XRP is bullish on weekly timeframes.

The last time Ripple got over the cloud, magic happened. Is that’s what is next, or will the cryptocurrency fall one more time? If so, another 60% fall and four months may be left before the explosive rally happens. But when it does, it will be more than worth waiting for.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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