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Should Bitcoin Investors Be Thankful It’s Thanksgiving?

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
5 years ago
3 mins read
bitcoin thanksgiving

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Bitcoin has in some ways become synonymous with Thanksgiving. It was two years prior when dinner table talks with family members about the first-ever cryptocurrency turned into extreme FOMO resulting in a bubble the asset still has yet to recover from.

Investors had a lot to be thankful for that Thanksgiving, but what about this year? Could Bitcoin explode into a bull market once again? Let’s review a decade of Bitcoin performance post-Thanksgiving to see if crypto investors should really be thankful it’s Thanksgiving once again for Bitcoin.

The Complete History of Bitcoin Price on Thanksigiving

It was right around Thanksgiving 2017, when Bitcoin first breached above the FOMO trigger – as Fundstrat’s Tom Lee called it – price point of $10,000 when not even a month later Bitcoin doubled in price, reaching its historic peak price of $20,000.

Related Reading | Research Shows That Holidays Cause FOMO Fireworks in Bitcoin Price Charts 

Last Thanksgiving, Bitcoin traded at nearly 25% of that peak, making crypto investors a little less thankful last year.

This year, Bitcoin is at a turning point and wherever it goes following the US holiday could alter the trend of the asset for the foreseeable future, making it among the most important Thanksgivings for the asset yet.

To try and get a feel for how Bitcoin might perform from here, we’ve reviewed the last decade of Bitcoin Thanksgivings to understand how the asset has performed following the holiday.

Bitcoin’s very first thanksgiving the crypto asset was valued at roughly a quarter, making it incredible to think that someday it could be worth a quarter of a million dollars per BTC.

From the first Thanksgiving to Thanksgiving 2011, the crypto asset gained 757%, growing to $2.40. From 2011 to 2012, the leading crypto asset by market cap had another massive gain, of 412%, taking its price to $12.30.

The next year, though, Bitcoin experienced its first real bull market, taking the price all the way to $1,010 for its largest holiday-to-holiday gain of over 8,111%.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Price: Defense of $7,000 Could Lead to Thanksgiving Rally

The following year in 2014, was Bitcoin’s first major drawdown, taking the price of the crypto asset down to $369, resulting in a loss of 63% from the year prior. Losses were sustained for the second year in 2015, as teh asset’s bear market continued with a 4% loss from one holiday to the next.

In 2016, things picked up once again, as Bitcoin more than doubled in price from Thanksgiving 2015 to 2016, taking the price of the first-ever cryptocurrency to $740, and a 109% gain. It wasn’t enough yet to break the former all-time high, but it did the following year.

bitcoin crypto thanksgiving

2017’s Thanksgiving was one for the history books. The crypto asset was already trading at a high of $8,191 for the year and dinner table discussions about the then unheard of asset caused FOMO to surge and push Bitcoin’s price to its all-time high of $20,000 just one month later. From the prior Thanksgiving to 2017, BTC grew by 1006%.

But much like the first bull market peak, the following year resulted in a loss, with 2018’s Thanksgiving taking place just days after support at $6,000 broke, and the asset fell to its bear market low. That year, Bitcoin closed Thanksgiving at $4,422, and a 46% loss.

BTC On Average Grows 1,150% From Holiday to Holiday

This year, Bitcoin price is currently trading around $7,600, up 71% from last year’s prices. But given BTC’s past holiday to holiday performance, crypto investors should be especially thankful this Thanksgiving.

On average, from holiday to holiday, Bitcoin has grown 1,150%, and only three years in total out of the ten years the asset has been around, have resulted in a loss. This suggests that come next year, crypto investors may be thankful for their fresh four-digit performance, much like the cryptocurrency has shown in the past.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

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Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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